Penguin Books

Black Swan - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan i s a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing succ ess of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we alwaysignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we arehard-wired notto truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, nar rate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible". In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we dont know, and shows us how to face the world.Upozornenie: Vzhľadom na častejšie o bmeny vydaní tejto knihy v zahraničí, kus, ktorý vám zašleme, nemusí mať rovnakú obálku ako je zobrazená tu. Zobrazená obálka môže byť iba ilustračná. Obsah knihy aj cena budú však identické, bez ohľadu na obálku.

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